Last Updated on August 23, 2026 by Patrick Camuso, CPA
Camuso CPA PLLC has submitted a formal recommendation to the U.S. Department of the Treasury and Internal Revenue Service requesting coordinated federal tax guidance for prediction-market event contracts under Notice 2026-23 and the 2026–2027 Priority Guidance Plan.
The submission asks Treasury and the IRS to address recurring federal tax-administration questions involving contract classification and character, transaction timing and losses, wagering treatment, Section 1256, taxpayer capacity and market-making activity, entity-level consequences, information reporting, digital-asset settlement, recordkeeping, and transition rules.
Prediction-market products can differ materially in legal structure, payout mechanics, referenced events, trading architecture, participant functions, and transaction endpoints. Camuso CPA’s recommendation therefore does not advocate a single federal tax treatment for all prediction markets or express a position regarding any particular contract, platform, taxpayer, client, or reporting position.
Notice 2026-23 expressly invites taxpayers and practitioners to recommend guidance projects and recognizes the value of practical experience from those applying the tax laws.
Camuso CPA submitted the recommendation to encourage greater consistency, administrability, and clarity as prediction-market activity and product variety continue to expand.
Read the full submission.
For inquiries regarding tax analysis involving prediction-market traders, market makers, investment firms, or event-contract activity, contact Camuso CPA.
This article is provided by Camuso CPA for general informational purposes and does not constitute legal, tax, accounting, or investment advice. Tax laws and regulations are evolving rapidly and the information presented may not reflect current guidance. Reading this article does not create a CPA-client relationship. For advice on your specific situation, schedule a consultation with Camuso CPA.
Camuso CPA, PLLC