Can Prediction Market Activity Qualify as a Trade or Business?
Quick answer (read this first): What this article addresses: Can prediction market activity qualify as a trade or business, and what changes if it does. The answer depends on the […]
Quick answer (read this first): What this article addresses: Can prediction market activity qualify as a trade or business, and what changes if it does. The answer depends on the […]
Patrick Camuso was included on the Forbes 2026 Best-in-State Top CPAs list, marking a second consecutive year of recognition. That recognition comes at a time when the digital asset landscape […]
Quick answer (read this first): What HIP-4 is: Hyperliquid’s outcome contract framework, announced in September 2025 and live on testnet as of February 2026, introduces binary prediction market instruments directly […]
Wired published a piece examining the tax reporting challenges facing prediction market traders following the explosive growth of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Patrick Camuso, CPA was quoted in the […]
Quick answer (read this first): The short answer: It depends entirely on how your prediction market activity is characterized, and the rules differ so significantly across frameworks. Why prediction market […]
Quick answer (read this first): The short answer: It depends and the IRS has not told you which answer applies. What the question actually means: Whether prediction market profits are […]
Prediction markets now operate within formal regulatory infrastructure and, in certain instances, under direct CFTC supervision. Platforms such as Kalshi function as Designated Contract Markets and list standardized event-based contracts […]
Kalshi is no longer an experimental corner of the internet. It is the first CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange operating in the United States, and it now sits at the intersection of […]
Prediction markets are no longer a niche experiment. They now sit at the intersection of trading, information aggregation, and real capital deployment. What has not evolved at the same pace […]